Aside

 

 

Charles Martel really slaps you in the face with some straight talk about Republicans and ethnic minorities.  The Big Tent is Empty.

Mark Hendrickson explains the partisan divide between big city folks and those who live closer to reality in the countryside.

Mark Steyn adds to the subject of race-obsessed politics with his column, Tribal America

Jill Kelly apparently seduces generals for both fun and profit.  She is horribly in debt and was allegedly peddling her imaginary influence to businessmen.  She would be a classic candidate for selling secrets and is the reason why people in positions of power need to avoid compromising relationships.

Here is a truly sick and disgusting government program.  In this time of exploding deficits, the Obama administration is working with the Mexican government to increase the use of food stamps by illegal aliens.  Think of it as a Democrat voter registration drive with the cost passed on to your grandchildren:

In honor of Jess’s post on the demise of Twinkies:

From my daughter, Holly:

1)Only in America, could politicians talk about the greed of the rich at a $35,000.00 a plate campaign fund-raising event.

2) Only in America, could people claim that the government still discriminates against black Americans when they have a black President, a black Attorney General, and roughly 18% of the federal workforce is black while only 12% of the population is black.

3) Only in America, could they have had the two people most responsible for our tax code, Timothy Geithner, the head of the Treasury Department and Charles Rangel who once ran the Ways and Means Committee, BOTH turn out to be tax cheats who are in favor of higher taxes.

4) Only in America, can they have terrorists kill people in the name of Allah and have the media primarily react by fretting that Muslims might be harmed by the backlash.

5) Only in America, would they make people who want to legally become American citizens wait for years in their home countries and pay tens of thousands of dollars for the privilege while we discuss letting anyone who sneaks into the country illegally just ‘magically’ become American citizens.

6) Only in America, could the people who believe in balancing the budget and sticking by the country’s Constitution be thought of as”extremists.”

7) Only in America, could you need to present a driver’s license to cash a check or buy alcohol, but not to vote.

8) Only in America, could people demand the government investigate whether oil companies are gouging the public because the price of gas went up when the return on equity invested in a major U.S. oil company (Marathon Oil) is less than half of a company making tennis shoes (Nike).

9) Only in America, could the government collect more tax dollars from the people than any nation in recorded history, still spend a Trillion dollars more than it has per year – for total spending of $7-Million PER MINUTE, and complain that it doesn’t have nearly enough money.

10) Only in America, could the rich people – who pay 86% of all income taxes – be accused of not paying their “fair share” by people who don’t pay any income taxes at all.

 

 

The Broken Window Fallacy

Economic illiteracy may be the primary cause of two problems:

  •  bad legislation by politicians and,
  • the willing acceptance of the bad legislation by the citizens.

An understanding of basic economic concepts by the voters would stop many foolish politicians from successfully selling their harmful plans.

Maybe the reason that public education fails to teach basic economic principles is because politicians prefer malleable voters.  Whatever the reason, one of our goals here at realitybatslast.com is to contribute to  the economic literacy of voters.

The bad news is that most people view economics as a dry and boring and very complicated subject.  The good news is that basic economics, the kind that will make us smarter voters, is readily accessible to any thinking person.  And it’s our responsiblity as voters to make the effort to educate ourselves.

One economic fallacy that is everywhere in politics is the Broken Window Fallacy.  See the brief explanation here:

It doesn’t take a genius to realize that property destruction does not increase the wealth of a society.  Property destruction constitutes a net loss of wealth.   It may take a real “expert”, like a Harvard Professor or Nobel Laureate to be foolish enough to think otherwise.

You saw in the video that Paul Krugman said this after the 9/11 attack on New York:

“Ghastly as it may seem to say this, the terror attack — like the original day of infamy, which brought an end to the Great Depression — could do some economic good.”

Harvard Professor and former Obama economic adviser Larry Summers said that the terrible destruction of the recent Japanese earthquake and tsunami, “may lead to some temporary increments, ironically, to GDP as a process of rebuilding takes place. In the wake of the earlier Kobe earthquake, Japan actually gained some economic strength.”

It’s too bad the earthquake didn’t destroy Tokyo, too.  Think of how much that would have helped.

19th century French economist Frederic Bastiat explained that there are two types of economists:

 ”There is only one difference between a bad economist and a good one: the bad economist confines himself to the visible effect; the good economist takes into account both the effect that can be seen and those effects that must be foreseen.”

We are surrounded by bad economists who tout the visible effects of their actions and think nothing about the less visible consequences.  So called stimulus spending and government job creation schemes fit this pattern.  There is much hoopla about the wonderful spending and little concern about what those dollars would have accomplished if they had not been taken by the government.

Think of it this way.  Imagine a boastful doctor who is giving a man a blood transfusion.  You can see the blood going into the patient and you can hear the Dr. explaining how he is helping.  What a great guy.  What you can’t see is that the blood tube is coming out of the patients other arm, and half the blood is being spilled and wasted in the process.  A patient could die from that kind of help.

Conceding the Point

Republicans have their guns blazing, shooting themselves in the foot.  One way that conservatives regularly harm themselves is that they start an argument by conceding defeat.  They take the false premises of the enemy as the starting point of their own argument.  If step one of your defense is to agree with your opponent, you are helping them more than you are helping yourself.

Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal gave us an example of this technic on Monday.  He called on Republicans to “stop being the stupid party” .  He said,  “We cannot be, we must not be, the party that simply protects the rich so they get to keep their toys.”

Does he believe that conservative principles of limited government are only good for wealthy people?  This is exactly what his opponents believe and they express it in almost the same way he does.  Jindal accepted and repeated their premise.   If he understood conservative principles, he would argue that liberty and limited government are the keys to prosperity for all.  The stupid party is the party that thinks otherwise, against all evidence of history.

Bill Kristol showed that he accepts the premise of the Democrats when he said a few days ago, “It won’t kill the country if we raise taxes a little bit on millionaires  … I don’t really understand why Republicans don’t take Obama’s offer.”  Why, he wondered, should we “defend a bunch of millionaires”.

Does Kristol not understand what Kennedy and Reagan understood when they argued that tax increases in a recession will slow growth and decrease government revenues.  The argument is not about millionaires.  It’s about rational tax policy.  Why not make that argument rather than concede the argument with the language of the left.

And beyond the tax question, the real problem is wildly out of control spending.  Taxing the 1% even more will not remotely fix our budget problem.  Taxing high earners at 100% would only be a drop in the big, big bucket.  The debt would still be enormous and growing.  That’s the story that needs to be told.

After the election, much of the discussion among Republicans about the Hispanic vote started with the premise that conservative positions are anti-Hispanic.  That is our opponents position exactly.  But is there something racist about wanting secure borders?  Are Mexicans racist for protecting their southern border?  Is it racist to be against a socialist welfare state?  These are not racist or anti-Hispanic positions and we will never out-Democrat the Democrats in pandering on these issues.  Never.  If we say the liberals are right and we favor open borders and expanding welfare, then we have lost the battle at that point.

When you hear a Republican like George Bush say he is a new kind of Republican - a “compassionate conservative”,  you should realize that he is saying that regular conservatism is not compassionate.  That is wrong and is a good example of accepting the premise of your opponents.  Watch for it.  Republicans do it all the time.

One other possiblility to consider is this.  When establishment Republicans say, essentially, “We agree with you Democrats and want to be more like you”, they may mean exactly that.  They are striving to be Democrats-lite.

On Democracy

There is Liberty, and there are many forms of tyranny.  Democracy is one form of tyranny.  It is another name for mob rule.  Our Founding Fathers understood that clearly and they attempted to control the dangers of democracy by strictly limiting the sphere of government action and by proclaiming that each individual had inviolable rights that were not subject to a vote.

It was a nice try; the best the world has ever seen.  But our government has broken many of the bonds limiting its power.  And our government is increasingly willing to abrogate individual rights, especially property rights.  As our gargantuan government grows, liberty shrinks.

Thomas Jefferson knew history very well.   He knew that the task of limiting the power of government would be very difficult because, “The natural progress of things is for liberty to yield and government to gain ground”.

Even though we often hear that democracy is the ideal form of government, that is simply not true    …at least for those of us who value individual liberty.  Starting with our Founding Fathers and ending with Karl Marx, here are some insights on democracy:

Remember, democracy never lasts long. It soon wastes, exhausts, and murders itself. There is never a democracy that did not commit suicide.  John Adams

A democracy is nothing more than mob rule, where fifty-one percent of the people may take away the rights of the other forty-nine.   Thomas Jefferson

The Democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not.   Thomas Jefferson

Democracies have ever been spectacles of turbulence and contention; have ever been found incompatible with personal security or the rights of property; and have in general been as short in their lives as they have been violent in their death.  James Madison

A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the voters discover that they can vote themselves largesse from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidates promising the most benefits from the public treasury with the result that a democracy always collapses over loose fiscal policy, always followed by a dictatorship. The average age of the world’s greatest civilizations has been 200 years.   Alexis de Tocqueville

Democracy must be something more than two wolves and a sheep voting on what to have for dinner.   James Bovard

All government is, in its essence, organized exploitation, and in virtually all of its existing forms it is the implacable enemy of every industrious and well-disposed man.  H.L. Mencken

Every election is a sort of advance auction of stolen goods.   H.L. Mencken

The principle that the majority have a right to rule the minority, practically resolves all government into a mere contest between two bodies of men, as to which of them shall be masters, and which of them slaves; a contest, that — however bloody — can, in the nature of things, never be finally closed, so long as man refuses to be a slave.  Lysander Spooner

A healthy democracy requires a decent society; it requires that we are honorable, generous, tolerant and respectful.     Charles W. Pickering

A vote is like a rifle: its usefulness depends upon the character of the user.   Theodore Roosevelt

In a democracy, the majority of the citizens is capable of exercising the most cruel oppressions upon the minority.    Edmund Burke

The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter.   Winston Churchill

Many forms of Government have been tried, and will be tried in this world of sin and woe. No one pretends that democracy is perfect or all-wise. Indeed, it has been said that democracy is the worst form of Government except for all those other forms that have been tried from time to time.   Winston Churchill

Democracy cannot succeed unless those who express their choice are prepared to choose wisely. The real safeguard of democracy, therefore, is education.  Franklin D. Roosevelt

Anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that ‘my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.   Isaac Asimov

Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard. H. L. Mencken

The natural tendency of every government is to grow steadily worse – that is, to grow more satisfactory to those who constitute it and less satisfactory to those who support it.  H.L. Mencken

The ignorance of one voter in a democracy impairs the security of all.   John F. Kennedy

Propaganda is to a democracy what the bludgeon is to a totalitarian state.   Noam Chomsky

The difference between a democracy and a dictatorship is that in a democracy you vote first and take orders later; in a dictatorship you don’t have to waste your time voting.  Charles Bukowski

Democracy is a device that insures we shall be governed no better than we deserve. George Bernard Shaw

Democracy passes into despotism.    Plato

Democracy is the road to socialism.   Karl Marx

These quotes are not an explanation of what might happen in America if we are not careful.

These quotes are an explanation of what did happen. 

What a Tangled Web We Weave…

There was a bit of humor in the way Fox news presented the story of the Petraeus -Broadwell affair.  They said that “Broadwell was embedded in Petraeus unit”.  I would say that they had that backwards.

But the idea of this compromising relationship is not funny.  It opens two possible threats to national security.  First, the head of the CIA made himself more vulnerable to blackmail.  Second, secrets may be shared with the mistress that the mistress inadvertently shares.

There is breaking news tonight that the second threat happened in this case; state secrets were shared.  In this case it is partly a threat to national security but mostly a threat to the pack of lies promulgated by the administration.. Broadwell spoke at a University of Denver alumni Symposium last month and said,

“Now I don’t know if a lot of you heard this, but the CIA annex had actually had taken a couple of Libya militia members prisoner. And they think that the attack on the consulate was an effort to try to get these prisoners back.”

This is stunning information.  Do Hillary and Obama have a secret prison there?  Do you mean the attack wasn’t about a YouTube video? Golly.  Who knew.

Who Cares?

Andrew McCarthy tries to explain why Republican voter turnout was so low for this election.  Apathy among Republicans explains a big part of the loss.  But how do we explain apathy in this election?  Here is an excerpt:

Somehow, Romney managed to pull nearly 2 million fewer votes than John McCain, one of the weakest Republican nominees ever, and one who ran in a cycle when the party had sunk to historic depths of unpopularity. How to explain that?

The brute fact is: There are many people in the country who believe it makes no difference which party wins these elections. Obama Democrats are the hard Left, but Washington’s Republican establishment is progressive, not conservative. This has solidified statism as the bipartisan mainstream. Republicans may want to run Leviathan — many are actually perfectly happy in the minority — but they have no real interest in dismantling Leviathan. They are simply not about transferring power out of Washington, not in a material way.

As the 2012 campaign elucidated, the GOP wants to be seen as the party of preserving the unsustainable welfare state. When it comes to defense spending, they are just as irresponsible as Democrats in eschewing adult choices. Yes, Democrats are reckless in refusing to acknowledge the suicidal costs of their cradle-to-grave nanny state, but the Republican campaign called for enlarging a military our current spending on which dwarfs the combined defense budgets of the next several highest-spending nations. When was the last time you heard a Republican explain what departments and entitlements he’d slash to pay for that? In fact, when did the GOP last explain how a country that is in a $16 trillion debt hole could afford to enlarge anything besides its loan payments?

It’s worth reading in its entirety.

Wow! 100% “Turnout” in parts of Philly

It’s pretty good when you can get every single voter in some large voting districts to show up and cast a vote. That is what they say they are accomplishing in some parts of Philadelphia. I have seen this kind of accomplishment in third world countries, where sometimes there are even more voters than there are people, but not in America.

Jonathan Tobin writes,

100%. That’s the percentage of registered voters who voted at a number of Philadelphia voter precincts in the last several elections. Indeed, as Republicans in the state capital pointed out during the debate about the voter ID law, in many parts of Philadelphia, a Democratic stronghold, voter turnout in contested elections routinely exceeds 100 percent of registered voters. But because the Democrats control the local elections board that supervises voting in the city, there is no accountability for this obvious fraud. If it is enforced, the voter ID law may make this rather flagrant method of cheating a bit more difficult this year.

Listen to the fraud enablers as they kick the Republican poll officials out of the polling place  crime scene:

How do you feel about having open vote fraud in your country.  I don’t think our Attorney General cares.  Holder has a name for citizens who want honest elections:  Racists.

UPDATE -  11-12  – It is being reported today that Romney got 0% of the votes 59 Philadelphia districts.  There were also more that 100 districts near Cleveland, Ohio where Obama got more than 99% of the reported vote.  Absurd corruption on display.

Did the Election Save ObamaCare?

In an imaginary world, government does things efficiently and economically.  In that world, you would want government to provide health care.

In the real world, politicians cobbled together a monstrous piece of legislation called Obamacare, with a structure that cannot possibly be efficient or economical.

John C. Goodman at Townhall.com has a superb analysis of what Obamacare will do when reality comes up to bat.

If you read this at the source, you will see links to other supporting information.  John Goodman:

The morning after Tuesday’s vote, there is one thing every commentator agreed on. The election of Barack Obama guaranteed that his signature piece of legislation — health reform — can now go forward. Republicans are powerless to stop it.

Yet there is something all these commentators are overlooking. There are six major flaws in ObamaCare. They are so serious that the Democrats are going to have to perform major surgery on the legislation in the next few years, even if all the Republicans do is stand by and twiddle their thumbs.

Here is a brief overview.

ObamaCare is not paid for. At least it’s not paid for in any politically realistic way. As is by now well known, the legislation will lower Medicare spending over the next 10 years by $716 billion in order to fund health insurance for young people. This reduction will primarily consist of lower payments to physicians, hospitals and other providers — reductions that are so severe that they will seriously impair access to care for senior citizens.

In the last two Medicare Trustees reports, the Office of the Medicare Actuaries has predicted that these cuts will force one in seven hospitals out of the Medicare system in the next eight years. Payments to doctors under Medicare will fall below Medicaid levels in the very near future and will fall continuously behind Medicaid in the years ahead. From a financial point of view, seniors will be less desirable patients to doctors than welfare mothers. Harvard health economist Joe Newhouse envisions that seniors may have to seek care in the same places that now cater to Medicaid beneficiaries: at community health centers and in the emergency rooms of safety net hospitals.

During the election campaign, Barack Obama claimed that his administration had found $716 billion of “savings” and Democrats generally claimed that the money would come out of the pockets of doctors, hospitals and insurance companies, with no bad effects on seniors. In fact, no “savings” have been found and seniors will indeed be affected by low reimbursement rates — just as low-income patients must deal today with the fact that almost one in three doctors is not taking any new Medicaid patients.

But if the current crop of politicians is afraid to admit that they have taken something away from senior voters, what do you think future politicians are going to do when real pain starts setting in? The betting in Washington is that the cuts will be restored. That will mean that ObamaCare will hugely add to deficit spending, indefinitely into the future.

ObamaCare promises what it cannot deliver. To most politicians, acquiring health insurance means that people will be able to get medical care that the uninsured are not now getting. Yet in order for the country as a whole to get more medical care, there must be more doctors and nurses and hospital personnel — something that ObamaCare does not create. Continue reading

In a Nation of Children…

I have pasted some interesting election commentary below.  Let’s start with Rush Limbaugh, who explained the election in just 8 words:

“In a Nation of children, Santa Claus wins.”

“Do you realize that Barack Obama’s message is that the people who are making it possible for him to be Santa Claus in this country aren’t working hard enough so he’s going to tax them more?”

“Say what you want, folks: Mitt Romney did offer a vision of greatness, a vision of traditional America, a vision of an American recovery and return to prominence.”  But it was rejected.

——————————-

Michael Walsh at NRO:

First, the Republicans should never again agree to any debate moderated by any member of the MSM, most especially including former Democratic apparatchiks like Stephanopoulos. What used to be the American journalistic establishment — and I spent 25 years in it — is now out and proud and fully committed to the Obama Way. For them, this was the moment they’d been waiting for since the 1960s, their chance to (as they see it) change the course of American history, to be participants instead of just observers and stenographers, and if they had to first compromise, and then abandon, their stated principles of objectivity and neutrality, so what? The game was worth the candle. They will go to their graves feeling good about themselves.

…[Republicans] can’t win without a media operation that can neutralize the 15 to 20 points that MSM advocacy regularly contributes to the Democrats. The only way to beat the media is to replace the media — and if you don’t think the media won this election for Obama, you’re delusional.

Finally, as for Romney, whose political career is now over, I have mixed feelings. Like John McCain, he never really took the fight to Obama and, more important, Obamaism; he spectacularly refused to engage the Democrats on an ideological level, to explain why conservative principles are better than the chimera of “progressivism,” ….And with the intelligence community leaking damaging details about Benghazi on a near-daily basis, he inexplicably took the entire issue off the table. He’s a good man, but a bad candidate, albeit the “most electable” of an unelectable lot.

In the end, though, Mitt lost because he and his team were incapable of grasping one simple, terrible fact: Far too many Americans today don’t want a job, they want — again, to use Obama’s term — revenge.

They just got it.

—————————

Veronique de Rugy at NRO:

The status quo won last night. I am sure that both sides will spend the next few months trying to understand what happened and what lessons they should draw from yesterday’s election results, and I suspect that there is a long list of valid reasons that explains why Governor Romney lost.

However, I would like to suggest that one of these reasons may be that voters’ enthusiasm for the Republican party has faded as the party embraced big-government policies. In fact, in spite of what Republicans lawmakers say about or think of themselves, they have not been the party of small government for long time, and people know it. Obviously politicians try to come across as wanting a a smaller government than Democrats, but that’s not enough. Actions matter too, and on that front, Republicans have shown that they aren’t really willing to cut spending or to shrink the size of government. In recent months alone, Republicans voted for a huge new farm bill, voted against getting rid of Solyndra-type loan-guarantee programs, voted to reauthorize the Ex-Im Bank, approved sugar tariffs, and more.

I think that it’s also unfortunate that on the issues of spending and the size of government, this campaign was fought only in the middle; there were talks of saving Medicare, not touching Social Security, and promises to increase defense spending while protecting federal education spending.

—————————

Ann Coulter:

No one can be blamed for the hurricane that took the news off the election, abruptly halting Romney’s momentum, but Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock can be blamed on two very specific people: Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock.

The last two weeks of the campaign were consumed with discussions of women’s “reproductive rights,” not because of anything Romney did, but because these two idiots decided to come out against abortion in the case of rape and incest.

After all the hard work intelligent pro-lifers have done in changing the public’s mind about a subject the public would rather not think about at all, these purist grandstanders came along and announced insane positions with no practical purpose whatsoever, other than showing off.

While pro-lifers in the trenches have been pushing the abortion positions where 90 percent of the country agrees with us — such as bans on partial birth abortion, and parental and spousal notification laws — Akin and Mourdock decided to leap straight to the other end of the spectrum and argue for abortion positions that less than 1 percent of the nation agrees with.

In order to be pro-life badasses, they gave up two easy-win Republican Senate seats.

No law is ever going to require a woman to bear the child of her rapist. Yes, it’s every bit as much a life as an unborn child that is not the product of rape. But sentient human beings are capable of drawing gradations along a line.

———————————–

Andrew McCarthy on “Immigration and Delusion”:

Could you find a more sharp disagreement between genuinely smart folk than in the competing description of Hispanic immigrants offered by Heather Mac Donald and the editors of the Wall Street Journal? Here is the Journal this morning:

Immigrants should be a natural GOP constituency. Newcomers to the U.S.—legal or illegal—tend to be aspiring people who believe in the dignity of work and self-sufficiency, and they are cultural conservatives. They are not the 47%.

Here is Heather yesterday:

If Republicans want to change their stance on immigration, they should do so on the merits, not out of a belief that only immigration policy stands between them and a Republican Hispanic majority. It is not immigration policy that creates the strong bond between Hispanics and the Democratic party, but the core Democratic principles of a more generous safety net, strong government intervention in the economy, and progressive taxation. Hispanics will prove to be even more decisive in the victory of Governor Jerry Brown’s Proposition 30, which raised upper-income taxes and the sales tax, than in the Obama election.

Heather is clearly right. Anyone who has followed her work on this topic for years knows her sobering insights are based on extensive, on-the-ground research and careful analysis. The Journal, which often reflects the views of the Republican establishment, bases its immigration views on wishful thinking. And not just its immigration views. Today’s bromides about “aspiring people who believe in the dignity of work and self-sufficiency” are of a piece with the Journal’s similar soft-spot for the “Arab Spring” and Muslim outreach. These GOP fantasies are similarly based on the wishful thinking that Islamists are also “cultural conservatives” sure to forge freedom-embracing democracies when empowered in the Middle East and become model Americans when courted here — sure to assimilate seamlessly into our society rather than seek to change it fundamentally.

Falling in love with your own high-minded rhetoric is no substitute for clear-eyed examination that takes the world as it is, not as we would have it. In point of fact, Islamists, like many Hispanic political activists (think: La Raza), are statists. As I’ve detailed in The Grand Jihad and, more recently, Spring Fever, their thoroughgoing alliance with the American Left is ideologically based — it is not a product of insensitive messaging or “Islamophobia.” Islamists revile finance capitalism, favor redistributionist economic policies, and endorse nanny state regulatory suffocation as well as an ever-expanding welfare state. This is not because Leftists made inroads while conservatives idled. It is because — though this often seems unimaginable to the Journal — Islamists, like many Hispanic activists, are the vanguard of a different culture that they passionately believe is superior to the culture of individual liberty.

There is no single-issue quick-fix to the challenge of ushering them into the Republican coalition. Rather, there is a choice to be made: either convince them that they are wrong, meaning make the unapologetic case for liberty and limited government; or fundamentally change who you are, meaning accommodate their statism.

The fact that this choice is easy to identify does not mean the right alternative is easy to implement. Convincing skeptics of the long-neglected case for freedom is going to take a long time — you can’t cede your leading institutions to statists for decades and expect to turn things around over night. But the second alternative, the one that is so easy — and obviously for some, so tempting — is surrender and steep decline. Accommodation only works in a normal political order where both sides have the same core values but differ on how to validate them. It does not work when one side is looking to vanquish the other.