New York City voted for Rudy Giuliani in 1993. Since then, a city that voted for Obama by a 4 to 1 margin in 2008 has been consistently electing Republican mayors. Not only did Mr. Giuliani win in a spectacularly hostile environment for the GOP, but he often times enjoyed approval ratings north of 70% during his time in office. How desperate did the democratic electorate have to be to not only elect a red candidate, but LOVE him for two terms?
Very desperate. Prior to Giuliani’s reign, New York City was one of the most dangerous cities in the US. Years of liberal public employee and policing policies had allowed the city to descend into an environment so dirty and dangerous that even a lawless developing nation would find it embarrassing. Giuliani made tough decisions no democrat would ever find acceptable, and, in very short time, completely turned the city around. Everyone benefited because of his tough decisions. Under his watch, the murder rate in the African-American community fell by over 70%, and the city gained status as one of the safest in the nation.
Now, close to twenty years after he took office and cleaned house, the responsible adult supervision has put the NYC on solid footing and the city is ready to turn back over to the Democratic party. Democrats are now on much better position to institute the programs they have been itching to enact, and it will be some time before the city returns to a state that requires responsible oversight again.
By no means is New York City the only place where this scenario has played out. Heavily democratic cities and states all over the nation drive their budgets and crime-rates into the red zone with heavy spending and liberal programs. At some point, the populace tires of living in debt and squalor and asks for an adult to come in and make the tough decisions needed to put them on solid footing again. The mere election of a Republican in these places often gives the political mandate the adult savior needs to actually make changes.
New Jersey is another great example of a state that needed adult supervision in the capitol building. The same Garden State that elected Obama by an 18% margin asked Christie to help them manage a fiscal and managerial mess. Christie made the tough decisions and put the state back in the black. Now, his state is on strong enough footing to talk about granting an across the board income tax cut.
Are Giuliani and Christie anomalies? Are they just cherry-picked examples used by a right-leaning author? To answer that, look at three more very recent examples: Wisconsin, Ohio, Virginia, and Indiana. All four states just elected Republican governors and have the exact same story. Not only have the budgets been turned around in most of those states without tax hikes, but the unemployment rates are lower than the US average.
It is also important to study what happens when states and cities don’t ask for adult supervision and try to solve their problems with even more government largess. Look no further than the state of Illinois and its flagship city Chicago. In Illinois, despite tax hikes, the debt continues to expand at a seemingly exponential rate. Businesses are moving out of the increasingly hostile environment to places like… Indiana. Chicago has similar budget problems and violence that continues to get worse under Mayor Emmanuel. It is impossible to afford new Democratic programs when the current ones are already breaking the bank.
Perhaps the best example of a state without adult supervision is California. The state has bled over 4 million people in the past ten years to free market places like Texas and Nevada. Though they tried to bring in adult supervision by electing Governor Schwarzenegger, but failed to give him the mandate to make the budget cuts and management changes they needed. The state was given back to Brown, who is doubling down on the policies that got them into the current mess. Expect more worker exodus and severe austerity measures in California’s future.
The US is in a similar situation to California. The country is sinking under $16 trillion of debt and another $60 trillion of unfunded entitlement liabilities. We are a few interest rate hikes away from having to institute draconian austerity measures that will eviscerate the entitlement programs that Democrats hold dear. The kids have had the checkbook (that includes big-government Bush) for too long and we are at a crisis point that calls for adult supervision. If Democrats want a chance at continuing liberal programs and entitlements, they will have to do the same thing they do when things go to hell in a hand basket in their own cities and states: bring in the adult.
Romney has proven himself time and again to be the exact kind of “adult” the country needs. Democrats cried out for his supervision in Massachusetts, where he faced a $ 3 billion deficit and the lowest job growth rate in the nation when he took office. By the time he handed the state over to the Democrats, the budget was running $600 – $700 million surpluses and the state had an unemployment rate of 4.6% (down from 5.6%).
So why are Democrats desperately clinging to Obama? The financial sector is frozen under regulation, companies are holding on to over $2 Trillion of cash that will go overseas in the face of higher regulation and taxes, and the unemployment rate has only decreased to a nasty 8.1% because millions have left the work force. Most importantly, we are facing a debt crisis that everyone agrees will crush all government programs for years to come. Romney is a proven moderate who spent four years in Massachusetts compromising with Democrats and successfully solving these exact situations.
There is no real need for Democrats to worry about anything but the draconian fiscal hole we will be in after another four years of Obama. The choice isn’t a Reaganesque paradigm shift of the American spirit. Romney will not derail the entitlement society path that LBJ firmly set us on. Single mothers and entitled society will continue to out-breed those who are focused on working for a living. Have no fear, Democrats will win in end. Romney will just buy us more years to keep the entitlement society solvent and maybe even allow Democrats to add a few more programs before passing the crisis to the next generation.